Australian Cyclone & Wet Season Outlook 2026-27
Traffic-light verdict, live climate drivers, and a plain-English monthly summary — from BOM, ECMWF, NOAA and NASA.
State-by-state outlook
Deeper detail with ProRegional detail — planting windows, catchment flood risk and coastal cyclone timing — sits inside Outlook Pro. In the meantime, use these free live pages:
Cyclone fuel gauge
A single 0–100 score combining sub-surface ocean heat and Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential, with a plain-English confidence band.
Unlock with Outlook ProAnalog year story
"This setup most resembles 2010–11, 1974–75 and 1998–99." A short story of what actually happened those seasons.
Unlock with Outlook ProCatchment flood risk
Green/amber/red per catchment for the season ahead, factoring soil moisture and antecedent rainfall.
Unlock with Outlook ProClosest historical season
The single wet season whose climate driver fingerprint most resembles today's setup. Full narrative and the top three matches are in Outlook Pro.
How this outlook is built
We ingest official climate driver indices daily (ENSO/ONI, SOI, IOD/DMI, SAM, MJO and QBO) from NOAA PSL and BOM, plus monthly seasonal outlooks from the Bureau of Meteorology, ECMWF/Copernicus C3S and NOAA CPC. An AI writer then synthesises those numeric inputs into a single plain-English verdict per region, using only the data listed on this page.
Nothing on this page is generated in isolation — every headline, tercile bar and driver reading traces back to a public agency source and the exact date it was ingested.
Related Resources
Data Source
Data provided by BOM, ECMWF, NOAA CPC, NASA, JAMSTEC
Update Frequency: Daily driver states, monthly outlook synthesis